Increase Awareness and Better Quantify Risk

Your people are your best early “warning signal.” Crowdsource predictions for serious risks - and buy precious time to take action.

Challenge

Visionary CEOs and business leaders are taking a more proactive approach to developing their risk management capabilities (based on their strategic priorities) into a competitive advantage. They want to make better decisions that improve the value of the company in a risk-conscious way. How can you predict risk more effectively for your own competitive benefit?

Solution

Whether you’re concerned about industry regulation, cybersecurity, economic indicators, or other crisis management, we help clients identify, quantify, and prioritize risks. Once we’ve identified risks related to your business strategy, we invite your employees to make predictions on questions that provide signals for decision making. Our Cultivate Forecasts platform - which uses state-of-the-art human forecasting aggregation methods - collects predictions from employees and quantifies the likelihood of future risks, so you can quickly prioritize and take action.

Cultivate Forecast interface
Key Benefits
Clock icon representing real time probabilistic forecasts

Real-time probabilistic forecasts that quantify risks, immediately uncovering what your people know about potential threats to the business.

Comment bubble icon representing contextual output about why people forecast the way they do

Contextual output about why people forecast the way they do (via comment threads and upvoting) eliminates blind spots and gives the organization more honest, un-biased insight.

Bar graph icon representing measuring your accuracy at forecasting and compare to internal baselines

Measure your accuracy at forecasting and compare to internal baselines, so you can understand your strengths and weaknesses for better risk mitigation.

Document icon representing readout of organizational biases

Readout of organizational biases so you can give feedback and become more calibrated over time, ultimately achieving better inputs for your risk-related strategic decisions.

Document icon representing readout of organizational biases

A systematic approach to measuring risk that scales to involve a greater number of people with diverse experience and knowledge, and beats the status quo risk culture.

Platform Outputs

  • A private, secure Cultivate Forecasts platform to facilitate forecasting and analysis
  • Individual and aggregated probabilistic forecasts with just-in-time visualizations
  • Qualitative context of forecasts
  • Executive dashboard for an ongoing review of results
  • Curated monthly reports designed to fit seamlessly with existing risk management review processes
  • Alert system to notify you of rapid or extreme changes to an event’s likelihood
  • An assessment of your organization’s ability to accurately forecast and its biases
  • Full access to raw data for your own analysis
  • Full access to our platform’s REST API for easy integration with external dashboarding or BI systems

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Our Methodology

Our methodology is based on 10+ years of experience working with global industry leaders, like General Electric, to develop a crowd-driven forecasting approach for risk management.

Work flow chart of how Cultivate Forecasts' crowdsourced forecasting platform can improve risk maanagement

Want to learn more about our risk management forecasting solution?

Contact us