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Cultivate Labs Blog

From the team shipping AI forecasting and sensemaking systems used by government, defense, finance, and research teams.

What happens when you analyze college football like the CIA?
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What happens when you analyze college football like the CIA?

By Adam Siegel · Sep 25, 2026

What happens when you apply CIA-style analysis normally used to understand China or Russia to your favorite sports team?

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How crowdsourced forecasting works

By Cultivate Labs · Mar 04, 2024

How crowdsourced forecasting works

Crowdsourced forecasting is the process of soliciting quantitative forecasts (e.g. probabilities) about future events from a large group of people, then aggregating them into a "crowd" forecast. By harnessing the collective intelligence of a large, diverse group of people, crowd forecasting gives an analyst or decision maker valuable outside perspectives to consider.

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The value of crowd forecasting for government and industry 

By Cultivate Labs · Mar 04, 2024

The value of crowd forecasting for government and industry 

Cultivate supports government national security communities and multinational organizations in implementing crowdsourced forecasting. This methodology builds a cycle of information, in which experts can tap into the collective intelligence of their organization to bolster decision analysis.

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Monthly-ish musings on forecasting, how AI is transforming forecasting and analysis, and how those changes impact decision-making

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    Founded in Chicago, IL USA