Cultivate Labs Blog

From the team shipping AI forecasting and sensemaking systems used by government, defense, finance, and research teams.

Scenario Planning as a System, Not an Event
Latest Post

Scenario Planning as a System, Not an Event

By Adam Siegel · Feb 27, 2026

Scenario planning has shaped corporate strategy and investment research for decades, but in most organizations it remains an episodic exercise that quickly ages as the world moves on. What changes when scenarios become living models, continuously tested against measurable drivers and updated probabilities, is not just the analysis but the quality and timing of the decisions that follow.

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How crowdsourced forecasting works

By Cultivate Labs · Mar 04, 2024

How crowdsourced forecasting works

Crowdsourced forecasting is the process of soliciting quantitative forecasts (e.g. probabilities) about future events from a large group of people, then aggregating them into a "crowd" forecast. By harnessing the collective intelligence of a large, diverse group of people, crowd forecasting gives an analyst or decision maker valuable outside perspectives to consider.

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The value of crowd forecasting for government and industry 

By Cultivate Labs · Mar 04, 2024

The value of crowd forecasting for government and industry 

Cultivate supports government national security communities and multinational organizations in implementing crowdsourced forecasting. This methodology builds a cycle of information, in which experts can tap into the collective intelligence of their organization to bolster decision analysis.

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