Ongoing predictions get aggregated into one consensus which is often more accurate than any single expert.
Engage teams in making judgement calls on pressing questions and drive accountability for outcomes.
Where do you have biases? Blind spots? By measuring predictions, you'll understand your organization better than you ever have before.
For example, if you’re trying to prepare for a new product launch, you might ask: What are the chances we will meet development milestone Y? Will the marketing budget need to increase by launch? How many of product X will we sell at launch?
Collect an unlimited number of probabilistic forecasts (anonymous – or not), and see what people are commenting. Unlike a survey, people can update their forecasts on open questions as they change their minds.
Forecasts are aggregated in real-time so you always know what the ‘crowd says’ when making big decisions. If there’s only a 25% chance we will meet our product development deadline, then you can course correct.
Once the outcome to a forecast question is known, then you can judge the question. We judge accuracy using a Brier Score – like weather forecasters – so you can continue to improve over time. Leaderboards can also create competition.
Strategy and project planning workshops for kicking off your forecasting project the right way.
Executive and employee training sessions on how to be a good forecaster and translating those budding skills to the act of forecasting on our platform.
Our full service consulting covers forecasting program design, management, and execution - from executive reporting to employee communication and engagement.