A crowd-driven forecasting platform.
We use prediction markets to help you get smarter about your most important decisions.
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Client Spotlights
Broadspectrum, an Australian subsidiary of Ferrovial, is using Cultivate Forecasts to better understand "ground truth" about its business to guide strategic decisions.
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LG Display uses Cultivate Forecasts to run a public forecasting tournament to better inform corporate strategy, users were awarded with $10,000+ in prizes.
learn moreCultivate Forecasts is the culmination of over 10 years experience building prediction markets and other crowdsourcing applications.
Cultivate Forecasts is easy to use and simple to scale. We are trusted by some of the world's largest organizations to give strategic foresight to their most sensitive issues.
How We Collect Forecasts
Capture an unlimited number forecasts and comments anonymously (or not) whenever someone wants to update their forecast
Ask an unlimited number of forecast questions
Just-in-time trend visualizations and stats show consensus probabilistic outcomes
Notifications and alerts of new forecast questions, and other important activity
Easy probability elicitation means no training or advanced math skills
Full self-admin controls for question creation, judgment, and other site management
Mobile responsive web-based application and native iOS and Android applications
MORE ACCURATE FORECASTS AND IMPORTANT INSIGHTS ABOUT YOUR ORGANIZATION
Determine individual and site-wide forecasting accuracy using Brier scoring (same as weather forecasters!)
Accuracy leaderboards (site-wide, per topic, and per question)
Individual tracking of forecasts and accuracy points compared to the crowd consensus
Research-tested scoring algorithms for enhancing forecast accuracy
COLLECTION METHODS
Prediction markets
Support for multiple types of questions like yes/no, multi-choice, and date
Adjustable user experience for basic or advanced trading
Optional additional information capture like rationales and confidence scale
Opinion Polls
Support for same types of questions as our prediction markets
No fantasy currency, just probability inputs
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SCHEDULE A DEMOHOW WE ENCOURAGE PARTICIPATION AND COLLABORATION
Unobtrusive reminders keep the site top of mind to your participants
Create teams of forecasters to encourage collaboration and competition
Crowdsourced administration: flag content that goes too far
FORECAST QUESTION LIFECYCLE
Multiple question formats supported (e.g., binary, multiple answer, open)
Background field supports text, links, and other media
Resolve questions (and undo incorrect resolutions)
Crowdsource forecast questions by allowing people to submit their own questions
Crowdsource question judgments
Set future question publish dates to make sure there are always new questions coming
Categorize questions by topics and tags
REPORTING
Real-time reports (.csv) of consensus and individual forecasts, accuracy, participation, and more, for each question and site-wide
ADMINISTRATION
Comprehensive user management
Site-wide announcements
Integration with SAML2-compliant SSO systems
Participation stats
SUPPORT FOR ACADEMIC RESEARCH
Intake surveys to collect demographic information
Simple LMS and CBT capability to provide training
Manage multiple research conditions from a central dashboard
CUSTOMIZATION
Your branding
CSS customization
Text customization
Support for multi-language
Site access options: public, private, social login, etc.
Custom domain name
Basic CMS system to create custom content pages
Customized registration process to collect additional information about each user
Custom terms of service to support your internal regulations
Hosting Options
Flexibility to match your business requirements.
We use Heroku to host Cultivate Forecasts at Amazon AWS. Your application is always logically separated from any of our other clients, either in a shared environment or in its own dedicated environment. Still need to host Cultivate Forecasts yourself? We can support that too.
Software as a Service
Skip the complexity of hosting Cultivate Forecasts yourself and have us do it. Scalable to support thousands of users.
On-Premise
Some situations simply require you host Cultivate Forecasts yourself. Minimal maintenance required and a bi-annual update schedule ensures you have the latest versions of our application.
Reliability
Cultivate has an average 99.9% uptime for its hosted applications. We increase reliability through redundancy, daily backups, and disaster recovery plans.
Security and Privacy
All data stored on Cultivate Forecasts is safe, secure, and reliable
We are trusted (and have been audited) by some of the largest companies in the world so we know how important security and privacy is.
Industry Standard Security
We adhere to industry best practices including encrypted communications, encrypted data on our database, firewalled and monitored servers, and limited access to production data by our employees.
Single Sign-on
We can integrate with most SAML2 SSO authentication systems to give your IT department peace of mind that employees who have left the company don't still have access to valuable information.
Data Retention
Because we set up an isolated environment for each client, we can adjust our retention configuration to your requirements.
For Developers
Extend the application to wherever your creativity leads you.
Our API has been used to build add-on applications, retrieve data for custom information visualizations, and by our own team to drive our mobile application.
Rest API
A well documented API to access the data in your Forecasts site.
White Labeling
Customize a Forecasts site to your brand through CSS changes you control.
Want to be acquaintances? Stay in touch with Cultivate Labs.
We're changing the way organizations work.
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