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Cultivate Labs Blog

From the team shipping AI forecasting and sensemaking systems used by government, defense, finance, and research teams.

Scenario Planning as a System, Not an Event
Latest Post

Scenario Planning as a System, Not an Event

By Adam Siegel · Feb 27, 2026

Scenario planning has shaped corporate strategy and investment research for decades, but in most organizations it remains an episodic exercise that quickly ages as the world moves on. What changes when scenarios become living models, continuously tested against measurable drivers and updated probabilities, is not just the analysis but the quality and timing of the decisions that follow.

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Does forecasting accuracy really matter?

By Ben Roesch · May 05, 2023

Does forecasting accuracy really matter?

tl;dr - Yes, of course it matters. But improving it in lieu of the other benefits crowdsourced forecasting can provide continues to receive an outsized portion of attention when thinking about how to use crowdsourced forecasting to improve decision-making.

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Monthly-ish musings on forecasting, how AI is transforming forecasting and analysis, and how those changes impact decision-making

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