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Cultivate Labs Blog

From the team shipping AI forecasting and sensemaking systems used by government, defense, finance, and research teams.

What happens when you analyze college football like the CIA?
Latest Post

What happens when you analyze college football like the CIA?

By Adam Siegel · Sep 25, 2026

What happens when you apply CIA-style analysis normally used to understand China or Russia to your favorite sports team?

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Does forecasting accuracy really matter?

By Ben Roesch · May 05, 2023

Does forecasting accuracy really matter?

tl;dr - Yes, of course it matters. But improving it in lieu of the other benefits crowdsourced forecasting can provide continues to receive an outsized portion of attention when thinking about how to use crowdsourced forecasting to improve decision-making.

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Monthly-ish musings on forecasting, how AI is transforming forecasting and analysis, and how those changes impact decision-making

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