By Adam Siegel · Sep 25, 2026
What happens when you apply CIA-style analysis normally used to understand China or Russia to your favorite sports team?
By Ben Roesch · May 05, 2023
tl;dr - Yes, of course it matters. But improving it in lieu of the other benefits crowdsourced forecasting can provide continues to receive an outsized portion of attention when thinking about how to use crowdsourced forecasting to improve decision-making.
Monthly-ish musings on forecasting, how AI is transforming forecasting and analysis, and how those changes impact decision-making