Episode 10 - Return of the Trump
After a brief hiatus / Japanese vacation, Jack and Ben are back to discuss the US election. They discuss ways to arbitrage different markets on AlphaCast, and how to use other prediction markets to guide trading behavior. Then Ben goes off on a whim and makes some bold predictions about who will win the GOP nomination, naming the 4.5 candidates he thinks are the only ones who have a chance. Who are Ben's sleeper picks? Listen to find out.
Relevant links:
-
Who will be the Republican nominee, on AlphaCast, also: on PredictIt and PredictWise
- Who will win the presidency, on AlphaCast
- Which party will win the presidency, on AlphaCast
- David Wasserman on Republican primary rules / math, at FiveThirtyEight
- Ben's blog post from July about Donald Trump's chances
