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Cultivate Labs Blog

From the team shipping AI forecasting and sensemaking systems used by government, defense, finance, and research teams.

Scenario Planning as a System, Not an Event
Latest Post

Scenario Planning as a System, Not an Event

By Adam Siegel · Feb 27, 2026

Scenario planning has shaped corporate strategy and investment research for decades, but in most organizations it remains an episodic exercise that quickly ages as the world moves on. What changes when scenarios become living models, continuously tested against measurable drivers and updated probabilities, is not just the analysis but the quality and timing of the decisions that follow.

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New Series: Everything is Forecasting

By Zach Siewert · Oct 18, 2021

New Series: Everything is Forecasting

Many of our clients find that going through the process of making forecasts and "practicing" improves their "off-platform" decisions. That's why we're starting a new blog series about applying forecasting principles to other areas of life and work.

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Base Rates for Forecasting and Decision-Making

By Sean Kucer · Oct 18, 2021

Base Rates for Forecasting and Decision-Making

To see the future, one must first see the past. Base rates are a hallmark of good forecasting and decision-making - start using them in your work today.

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Monthly-ish musings on forecasting, how AI is transforming forecasting and analysis, and how those changes impact decision-making

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