• Products & Services
    • Hinsley: AI-Driven Decision Intelligence
    • Hinsley AI Forecaster: AI-Powered Probability Forecasting
    • Hinsley AirGap: Classified & Air-Gapped Deployment
    • Cultivate Forecasts: Collective Human Intelligence
    • Issue Decomposition Workshops
  • Blog
  • Company
  • Contact

Cultivate Labs Blog

From the team shipping AI forecasting and sensemaking systems used by government, defense, finance, and research teams.

What happens when you analyze college football like the CIA?
Latest Post

What happens when you analyze college football like the CIA?

By Adam Siegel · Sep 25, 2026

What happens when you apply CIA-style analysis normally used to understand China or Russia to your favorite sports team?

Read post →
Turning to crowdsourced forecasting when you’re not sure who or what to listen to

By Faith Powell · Dec 05, 2023

Turning to crowdsourced forecasting when you’re not sure who or what to listen to

With the rise of AI, disinformation in mass media will only continue to grow and evolve. Turning our attention to crowd forecasting is one way that we can better understand, monitor, and respond to global uncertainty – together.

Read post →
Google experts join a forecasting meetup about the future of AI hosted by Cultivate’s INFER

By Faith Powell · Oct 02, 2023

Google experts join a forecasting meetup about the future of AI hosted by Cultivate’s INFER

Earlier this month, one of our client programs INFER – the crowd forecasting program supporting the U.S. Government – hosted a special forecasting event about the future of AI. The event was attended by select INFER forecasters and nearly two dozen forecasting enthusiasts who work at Google, joining in a personal capacity.

Read post →
Playing with ChatGPT: Summarization of Forecast Rationales

By Adam Siegel · Apr 18, 2023

Playing with ChatGPT: Summarization of Forecast Rationales

Manual and time consuming sound like a perfect use case for some automated technology which is why we were so interested in what ChatGPT could do. Ultimately our goal would be to do the same thing a human was doing: summarize the rationales representing different probabilistic judgments.

Read post →

Sign Up For Our Monthly Newsletter

Monthly-ish musings on forecasting, how AI is transforming forecasting and analysis, and how those changes impact decision-making

  • Company
  • Privacy Policy
  • Disclosure
  • Contact Us
  • Cultivate Labs
    Founded in Chicago, IL USA