One of the first steps in a crowdsourced forecasting effort involves establishing a process for developing forecast questions that will deliver meaningful signals to decision-makers. We wanted to shed some light on our process, so we talked to a few of our team members that focus on developing questions for our client platforms.
A key practice of a good forecaster is doing post-mortems on your forecasts. Whether the result was good or bad, a quality post-mortem can help you identify what you did well or poorly and can improve on next time. See what Zach learned about his blindspots on a recent forecast about now-former UK Prime Minister, Liz Truss.
Cultivate Labs is excited to announce a partnership with The Bertelsmann
Stiftung, an independent foundation headquartered in Germany, and the
Washington, DC-based Bertelsmann Foundation, part of the Stiftung’s
Cultivate Labs and Pytho.io announced today the creation of a forecaster training curriculum for INFER
(INtegrated Forecasting and Estimates of Risk), a crowdsourced forecasting
program run by the Advanced Research Lab for Intelligence and Security (ARLIS)
at the University of Maryland.