To see the future, one must first see the past. Base rates are a hallmark of good forecasting and decision-making - start using them in your work today.
Read moreMany of our clients find that going through the process of making forecasts and "practicing" improves their "off-platform" decisions. That's why we're starting a new blog series about applying forecasting principles to other areas of life and work.
Read moreTo understand a big, fuzzy strategic question, you need to break it down into digestible signals you can forecast. Here's how we do it.
Read moreWe’re excited to announce the launch of a beta version of a new forecasting capability on the Cultivate platform we’re calling “multi-time period questions.” This new type of forecasting input now gives us the ability to collect several points of input from the forecaster all at once.
Read moreFor a long time we've had a rudimentary reminder system a user can set after they make a forecast. But now, we've introduced a more intelligent "nudging" system to ensure a larger percentage of forecasters are updating their forecasts on a regular basis.
Read moreThinking of working for a small company? Here are some of my experiences from joining Cultivate Labs!
Read moreThe latest Cultivate Forecasts platform updates as of December 7, 2020.
Read moreForecasting tournaments are compelling but you should be eyes wide open to some negative consequences if you run them inside your organization.
Read moreSOC 2 certification is widely recognized as a gold standard for data security and requires companies to establish and follow strict information security policies and procedures.
Read moreThe latest Cultivate Forecasts platform updates as of July 2, 2020.
Read moreThe latest Cultivate Forecasts platform updates as of June 9, 2020.
Read moreAn interview with an expert in risk communication about the ongoing challenges of communicating about COVID-19
Read moreNew presentation feature lets people forecast -- and see the results update in real-time.
Read moreForecasting in teams can lead to greater accuracy, and we've got the features to make it possible, like private team pages with discussion boards and team rankings.
Read morePartnership by Cultivate Labs and Good Judgment Inc will aggregate forecasts from experts to better understand the implications of the COVID-19 crisis and share the results with decision makers.
Read moreI talk to Anna Dreber Almenberg, an economist at the Stockholm School of Economics about prediction markets she's running to try and address the reproducibility crisis in science.
Read moreSchedule chicken is when someone is personally behind on their work, but doesn't say anything because they think someone else will, and take the heat for it, thus protecting their own ass. This apparently goes on at Apple, and is completely absurd. There's another way.
Read moreWe're excited to announce the availability of a new product, Flashcast. Flashcast is an entirely new way to interact with your audience. Ask them to make predictions about a related topic and watch the results, live.
Read moreCultivate Labs and two of our clients, AstraZeneca and the Canadian Nuclear Labs, were featured earlier this week in The Wall Street Journal's, "Companies Turn to Internal Crowdsourcing to Pick Best New Ideas."
Read moreNo one enjoys being wrong. It’s an unpleasant emotional experience for any of us. But that’s exactly the risk we’re suggesting people take when we ask them to make a forecast about the future.
Read moreIf you’re leading a large team that’s globally dispersed, you understand the challenge to create an innovative culture that can span physical boundaries. Here are 3 lessons from one Fortune 100 client running an innovation campaign across multiple countries that's exceeded expectations in countries including Japan.
Read moreAs I was scrolling through news this morning, I noticed a headline: Energizer’s 18,000mAh phone-battery monster is an Indiegogo flop. Checking other headlines about this, the news and commentary were equally brutal.
Read moreWhen we start projects with our clients, one of the first items we talk about is whether they want people to be anonymous in our prediction market or if they’ll use their real identities. The answer often reveals a lot, both about company culture and their personal fears of what will be made transparent. The spoiler alert is most don’t want anonymity.
Read moreAfter working with dozens of companies who have culture initiatives, I’m convinced their multi-million dollar investments in consultants, employee time, internal marketing, and the like will only see a partial return because a blocker is in their way: their culture of fear.
Read moreOur bread and butter working with clients is organizing their employees to participate in crowdsourcing exercises. Recently we have been approached more to help get forecasts from external crowds, either to support research projects, or to better understand what outside experts or customers think.
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